Europa Conference League · resolved market
Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7da3a9849860d07fe56cd2d06ee8292b47593d6700cefd92b7f4af47593e961f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 31c | 5,075$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.31 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 4,664$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.59 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes | 32c | 312.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 68c | 230.58$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 53c | 228.83$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 47c | 206.66$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.71 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 69c | 204.22$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 29c | 132.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 68c | 86.93$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 86.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Yes | 53c | 79.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 49c | 78.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 61c | 66.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9907backed No | 66c | 40.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 61c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 28.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 48c | 25.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 0.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 1.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 2.5Under won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 3.5Under won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 4.5Under won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: Páfos FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: Team to AdvancePáfos FC won
- Spread: Páfos FC (-1.5)Páfos FC won
- Spread: Páfos FC (-2.5)HNK Hajduk Split won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.