Europa Conference League · resolved market
Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76c0c12d8211288f5bf09c86f1d20a7660cfa4c09515560ae8afe54172aeb22b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Páfos FCof Páfos FC, HNK Hajduk Split
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HNK Hajduk Split | 78c | 3,800$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.7 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Páfos FC | 22c | 1,811$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.03 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed HNK Hajduk Split | 77c | 1,259$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.29 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Páfos FC | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.07 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Páfos FC | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.06 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e26…b0c1backed Páfos FC | 22c | 892.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked HNK Hajduk Split | 78c | 840.42$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.53 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Páfos FC | 24c | 833.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.54 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Páfos FC | 22c | 807.95$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed HNK Hajduk Split | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Páfos FC | 67c | 641.63$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.65 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed HNK Hajduk Split | 79c | 300.87$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.66 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Páfos FC | 25c | 200$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed HNK Hajduk Split | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed HNK Hajduk Split | 77c | 137.78$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 387 | 44.4%172 W · 215 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked HNK Hajduk Split | 80c | 130$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf9…3ddbbacked HNK Hajduk Split | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Páfos FC | 63c | 111.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.32per pick | 42cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked HNK Hajduk Split | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Páfos FC | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Páfos FC | 75c | 97.72$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked HNK Hajduk Split | 76c | 92.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed HNK Hajduk Split | 78c | 89.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Páfos FC | 22c | 89.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.78 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed HNK Hajduk Split | 76c | 89.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaae…b543backed Páfos FC | 23c | 82.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Páfos FC | 24c | 53.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Páfos FC | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 797 | 32.2%257 W · 540 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HNK Hajduk Split | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Páfos FC | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5468backed Páfos FC | 22c | 45.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed HNK Hajduk Split | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed HNK Hajduk Split | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed HNK Hajduk Split | 78c | 17.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…3afdbacked HNK Hajduk Split | 79c | 16.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: Team to Advancethis page
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 0.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 1.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 2.5Under won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 3.5Under won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 4.5Under won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: Páfos FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Páfos FC (-1.5)Páfos FC won
- Spread: Páfos FC (-2.5)HNK Hajduk Split won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.