Europa Conference League · resolved market
Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6661c1b142868307951c71c2397a7f06b30c78e81b270812acc623497709f8d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 13,199$7,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,449.47 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 67c | 9,488$6,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,403.6 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 2c | 8,935$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.26 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Under | 53c | 6,595$3,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,516.32 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 5,436$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,604.83 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,496$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 93 | 20.4%19 W · 74 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Over | 77c | 3,396$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.18 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 54c | 2,951$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.56 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 54c | 2,522$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.39 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 4c | 1,999$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 66c | 1,675$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.14 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Over | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…9357backed Under | 10c | 1,350$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 42c | 1,221$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.9 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 51c | 1,187$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.6 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…545bbacked Under | 58c | 1,025$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.23 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 960.29$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 78c | 859.8$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.2 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 70c | 830.76$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.53 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Over | 34c | 735.88$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.88 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 57c | 668.3$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.29 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 68c | 646.04$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.01 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 58c | 636.54$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.87 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 29c | 568.5$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.64 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…95c8backed Over | 59c | 507.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 57c | 387.73$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 43c | 367.72$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.52 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 41c | 306.77$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.88 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 68c | 283.78$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…302ebacked Under | 57c | 261.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 24c | 256$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 58c | 231$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.04 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 42c | 228$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.24 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +148.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 31c | 216$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.97 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 65c | 174.53$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.29 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…3a83backed Under | 44c | 170.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 40c | 153.16$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 38c | 145.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…d4c6backed Under | 23c | 140.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 43c | 107.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 59c | 91.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961c…9d72backed Under | 68c | 91.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Over | 15c | 88.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 66c | 74.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 24c | 73.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Over | 51c | 70.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Over | 50c | 70.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +198.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 20c | 68.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 63c | 63.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 38c | 63.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +9.8wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +43%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 66c | 46.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 76c | 43.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 60c | 40.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 41c | 37.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 63c | 35.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 37c | 34.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -11.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 61c | 34.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…56a9backed Under | 57c | 26.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 59c | 23.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 78c | 21.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911c…87bcbacked Under | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 62cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 77c | 16.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 1.5this page
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 0.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 2.5Under won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 3.5Under won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 4.5Under won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: Páfos FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: Team to AdvancePáfos FC won
- Spread: Páfos FC (-1.5)Páfos FC won
- Spread: Páfos FC (-2.5)HNK Hajduk Split won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.