Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Páfos FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5955832eb18e4baab5200c5bc81ed65c5f2556d52d9392c7af634a6d614bb988
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Páfos FCof Páfos FC, HNK Hajduk Split
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ea6…9223backed HNK Hajduk Split | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed HNK Hajduk Split | 64c | 3,858$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.75 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Páfos FC | 42c | 2,156$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.45 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Páfos FC | 28c | 1,933$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.5 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked HNK Hajduk Split | 72c | 1,890$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.79 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed HNK Hajduk Split | 69c | 1,833$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.29 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Páfos FC | 31c | 1,188$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.5 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HNK Hajduk Split | 70c | 1,058$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.32 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Páfos FC | 31c | 655$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.95 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Páfos FC | 29c | 395.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.64 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…f104backed Páfos FC | 32c | 313.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Páfos FC | 66c | 265.12$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.89 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…fd2ebacked Páfos FC | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed HNK Hajduk Split | 64c | 209.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed HNK Hajduk Split | 64c | 209.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Páfos FC | 37c | 198.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.18 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed HNK Hajduk Split | 52c | 144.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked HNK Hajduk Split | 44c | 142.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +148.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked HNK Hajduk Split | 67c | 131$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Páfos FC | 29c | 127.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed HNK Hajduk Split | 77c | 126.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Páfos FC | 40c | 113.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Páfos FC | 31c | 96.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Páfos FC | 32c | 95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed HNK Hajduk Split | 71c | 84.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c0…00d7backed Páfos FC | 30c | 80.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Páfos FC | 39c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Páfos FC | 45c | 73.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked HNK Hajduk Split | 70c | 59.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed HNK Hajduk Split | 71c | 58.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Páfos FC | 30c | 52.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed HNK Hajduk Split | 56c | 51.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed HNK Hajduk Split | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 797 | 32.2%257 W · 540 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Páfos FC | 28c | 47.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…de77backed Páfos FC | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked HNK Hajduk Split | 69c | 42.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed HNK Hajduk Split | 46c | 39.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Páfos FC | 55c | 25.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed HNK Hajduk Split | 71c | 25.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…880ebacked HNK Hajduk Split | 70c | 21.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked HNK Hajduk Split | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…4e38backed HNK Hajduk Split | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Páfos FC (-1.5)this page
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 0.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 1.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 2.5Under won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 3.5Under won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 4.5Under won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: Páfos FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: Team to AdvancePáfos FC won
- Spread: Páfos FC (-2.5)HNK Hajduk Split won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.