Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee36e678d74fb2676c4cd273fccca02d109bbcb3ff3900fa6d2e70d3d42ee994
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 5,900$3,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,281.29 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 33c | 3,485$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.39 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 2,431$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 44c | 1,940$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.84 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 45c | 1,588$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.01 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af8…adc5backed No | 72c | 1,281$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 44c | 909.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.17 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…459cbacked Yes | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 54c | 396.92$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.34 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 49c | 396.85$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.58 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 71c | 229.36$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 33c | 211.21$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 23c | 210.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 45c | 190.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.58 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 55c | 182$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…bf47backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed No | 46c | 168.59$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.04 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 159.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed No | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 46c | 106.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…00a9backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 72c | 96.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 72c | 96.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 66c | 79.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked No | 67c | 72.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 55c | 59.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed No | 43c | 47.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b87…a785backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 54c | 45.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 55c | 27.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…f237backed Yes | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed No | 47c | 23.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed No | 62c | 22.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: Fredrikstad FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)Rosenborg BK won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5)Rosenborg BK won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-2.5)Rosenborg BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.