Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd1c19cdaa7bc89ae3e63e2afa8ba4322dee64f850b9bc199b4e6315755ea1a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Under | 0c | 212,749$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 2c | 7,356$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 60c | 4,336$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.91 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 1c | 4,222$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 3,691$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.38 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed Under | 65c | 3,379$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 55c | 3,074$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.24 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 52c | 2,555$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.85 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,932$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.64 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 36c | 1,212$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.77 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d67…1fa5backed Over | 35c | 1,057$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 70c | 922.14$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.5 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 79c | 762.37$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.43 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 55c | 749.99$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 47c | 597.02$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.6 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Over | 37c | 509.86$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.21 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 38c | 508.75$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.67 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 69c | 499.84$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.89 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 65c | 467.55$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.91 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 46c | 434.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 39c | 412.15$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.47 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 40c | 316.9$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.71 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Under | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Under | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Over | 35c | 288$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 67c | 265.6$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.64 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 65c | 240$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 64c | 202$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.28 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed Over | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…a1aabacked Under | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 177.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 48c | 171.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 63c | 169.42$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.03 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 39c | 166.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.87 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 68c | 160$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 22c | 149.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 60c | 149.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…7387backed Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 24c | 118.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 35c | 112.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…b567backed Under | 57c | 107.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 64c | 98.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…1942backed Under | 54c | 92.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 44c | 85.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 41c | 78.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Over | 46c | 78.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Under | 41c | 68.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf6…baf9backed Over | 48c | 59.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 30c | 52.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 47c | 48.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 23c | 47.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Under | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Under | 47c | 45.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…9223backed Over | 37c | 41.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Under | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 78c | 37.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…c02dbacked Under | 64c | 34.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653b…685ebacked Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 45c | 29.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Under | 74c | 27.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 64c | 26.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 67cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 46c | 22.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Under | 67c | 19.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -4.5wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 67c | 16.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5this page
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: Fredrikstad FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)Rosenborg BK won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5)Rosenborg BK won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-2.5)Rosenborg BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.