Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18e645ccff44b07b9e8915e2e7780e6835be70c290060da3e3be43a27e18ddbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rosenborg BKof Rosenborg BK, Fredrikstad FK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5401…72c7backed Fredrikstad FK | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Rosenborg BK | 77c | 1,409$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.16 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Rosenborg BK | 39c | 1,116$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.6 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fredrikstad FK | 33c | 1,028$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.74 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rosenborg BK | 39c | 781.24$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.46 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Rosenborg BK | 37c | 757$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.72 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Fredrikstad FK | 23c | 627.17$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.02 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Fredrikstad FK | 65c | 555.81$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.24 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Rosenborg BK | 39c | 352.53$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.64 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Fredrikstad FK | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Rosenborg BK | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Rosenborg BK | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Fredrikstad FK | 65c | 186.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.46 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Fredrikstad FK | 64c | 146.28$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Rosenborg BK | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…329dbacked Fredrikstad FK | 17c | 123.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Rosenborg BK | 40c | 92.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Fredrikstad FK | 64c | 85.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Fredrikstad FK | 62c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Rosenborg BK | 40c | 75.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Fredrikstad FK | 21c | 62.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Rosenborg BK | 39c | 62.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Fredrikstad FK | 63c | 60.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Fredrikstad FK | 22c | 58.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Rosenborg BK | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Fredrikstad FK | 29c | 43.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Fredrikstad FK | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Rosenborg BK | 36c | 32.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Rosenborg BK | 37c | 31.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Rosenborg BK | 40c | 30.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Fredrikstad FK | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Fredrikstad FK | 46c | 29.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Fredrikstad FK | 48c | 28.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Fredrikstad FK | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Fredrikstad FK | 62c | 25.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -4.5wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Fredrikstad FK | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Rosenborg BK | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5)this page
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: Fredrikstad FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)Rosenborg BK won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-2.5)Rosenborg BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.