Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9935d9849cc2ab9b134ffa22ea856de84d87f82f5ab55f0f1fb2c2b0e1acb75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Over | 0c | 205,299$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 16c | 1,986$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.58 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 17c | 1,159$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.23 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 49c | 967.68$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 867.54$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.01 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 17c | 790.12$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Over | 2c | 559.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Under | 78c | 141.76$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 17c | 120.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 33c | 111.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 35c | 106.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 96.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 51c | 91.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…6be7backed Over | 18c | 82.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 19c | 81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb1…5d36backed Over | 20c | 69.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 44c | 69.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 18c | 59.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 73c | 44.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Under | 47c | 42.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Over | 36c | 30.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 51c | 24.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5this page
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: Fredrikstad FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)Rosenborg BK won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5)Rosenborg BK won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-2.5)Rosenborg BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.