Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c3a5a94b1f8f293b7e39bcc23acf90b2fc7e11df01ae63d1678af1b237e4854
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $382,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $397,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Under | 0c | 329,998$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 11,753$7,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,707.58 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 7c | 5,165$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.87 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 40c | 2,473$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.15 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 69c | 2,159$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.3 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 40c | 1,692$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.41 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed Under | 44c | 1,453$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.22 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 73c | 1,275$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.36 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 40c | 1,225$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.45 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 41c | 1,028$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.48 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 28c | 746.28$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.09 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 18c | 582.73$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Under | 42c | 580$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 555.06$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.68 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 44c | 553.39$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.49 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 479.65$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.39 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 76c | 478.84$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 58c | 427.5$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.55 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 57c | 421.01$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 40c | 403.79$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 72c | 343.44$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf14…7243backed Under | 41c | 217.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 21c | 197.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 21c | 177.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc30…f782backed Under | 7c | 166.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 60c | 140.97$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 39c | 111.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 47c | 88.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 57c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 58c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Over | 58c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 60c | 57.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 34c | 44.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…b8bfbacked Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 34c | 38.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 75c | 37.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 40c | 31.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 44c | 29.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 79c | 29.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 70c | 26.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Over | 56c | 26.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 57c | 25.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…7275backed Over | 58c | 25.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 58c | 20.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Over | 67c | 19.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 58c | 18.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5this page
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: Fredrikstad FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)Rosenborg BK won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5)Rosenborg BK won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-2.5)Rosenborg BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.