TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,806

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,709 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x122b…ac59backed Over41c18,676$7,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,668.176033.3%20 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over15c16,336$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,482.892948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under78c10,719$8,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.071154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under50c8,464$4,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,221.13948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over37c7,535$2,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,766.951,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c7,385$4,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,021.881,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over63c5,880$3,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,704.28223.2%19 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under57c5,724$3,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.466744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68af…93d2backed Over60c4,682$2,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,831.211050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over55c4,500$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4752326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-46.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Under69c4,245$2,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.185100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under60c3,876$2,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.582661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under52c3,058$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.115750.9%29 W · 28 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over27c2,710$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.1839443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under37c2,525$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.3341553%220 W · 195 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under47c2,306$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.5742647.9%204 W · 222 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over43c2,258$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.0416440.9%67 W · 97 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Over39c2,201$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.092433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under44c2,100$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.991250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over32c2,033$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.2759136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under60c2,012$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.913342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over40c2,002$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.872236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under78c1,960$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.936248.6%176 W · 186 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c1,599$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.9699435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under64c1,562$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.063369.7%23 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+44%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under37c1,556$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.9232944.7%147 W · 182 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Over49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.97966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under37c1,398$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.0331047.4%147 W · 163 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69d0…6732backed Under76c1,273$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over34c1,230$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.9870435.8%252 W · 452 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over63c1,045$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.4287531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over51c1,043$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.662437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed Over32c1,008$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.793732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over54c999.98$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.992948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over46c917.09$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.823050%15 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Over42c909.09$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.823839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Over41c853.65$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.134654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over40c817.22$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.894355.8%24 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over34c773.55$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.8416741.9%70 W · 97 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over50c761.5$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.367339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Over41c714.54$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.027241.7%30 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under49c700$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3541770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Under55c657.44$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.53360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+45.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over30c592.41$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3917348%83 W · 90 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under37c582.93$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.239946.5%46 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over29c568.76$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9650%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under64c557.11$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.077345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over24c550.8$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0588137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Under39c530$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.3837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Over39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003423.5%8 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+107.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under37c499.99$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9922245%100 W · 122 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under49c495.3$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.943161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under36c479.58$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.8252046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Over63c474.6$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2992347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under46c461.23$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.799246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under56c454.25$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.871560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over64c452.22$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.2520241.6%84 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over34c437$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5817936.9%66 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over41c407.12$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.216437.5%24 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x383f…5631backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002532%8 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under54c387.34$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1420832.2%67 W · 141 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over55c363.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over56c344.45$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over14c344$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2824245.9%111 W · 131 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over63c317.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under43c305.98$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.31172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+48.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under58c290.98$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.085100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+115%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over54c276.35$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.361457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over19c272.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3820916.7%35 W · 174 L-36.8wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-69.7%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed Over51c246$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.46933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0962…6e40backed Over63c238.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under71c231.15$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4935860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over31c227.73$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.413151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over63c223$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8412736.2%46 W · 81 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Under46c218.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.77580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+90.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d19…2410backed Over42c214.28$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under60c210.89$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9630856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under60c208.13$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4917058.8%100 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over14c199.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285635.7%20 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Under72c194.98$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.253751.4%19 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf04…90b5backed Over50c194.12$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.061513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.26per pick39cpaid-70.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over34c192$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6241238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over26c175.02$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6816144.7%72 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Over29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under49c168.92$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.912060%12 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Over40c166.66$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.673943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008650%43 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under37c150$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.514255.6%79 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over49c148.49$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7612551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under73c134.78$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7410752.3%56 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under60c124.11$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.966346%29 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d2d…2be7backed Under70c120.1$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.051471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+151.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over16c118.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1237753.8%203 W · 174 L+20.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Over64c117.19$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under53c115.91$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172564%16 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.76259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Under48c104.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.783464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under59c102.83$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8616350.9%83 W · 80 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over41c100.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.