TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
SK Puntigamer Sturm Grazof Heart of Midlothian FC, SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,270
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,760

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,270 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x779a…b689backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz74c3,089$2,286 inWon+$803.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heart of Midlothian FC21c2,796$598 inLost-$598.011,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz78c2,213$1,724 inWon+$488.3770435.8%252 W · 452 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Heart of Midlothian FC29c2,021$589 inLost-$589.0588137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz71c1,826$1,296 inWon+$529.546659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+50.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Heart of Midlothian FC30c1,595$478 inLost-$478.462114.3%3 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-54.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Heart of Midlothian FC3c437.99$11 inLost-$10.957548%36 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf15e…80b5backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz71c413$295 inWon+$118.03475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Heart of Midlothian FC29c291.25$84 inLost-$84.4629445.9%135 W · 159 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Heart of Midlothian FC28c256.87$72 inLost-$71.9260648.3%293 W · 313 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz70c221.67$156 inWon+$65.9352046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz70c208.99$146 inWon+$62.722245%100 W · 122 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Heart of Midlothian FC26c197.76$51 inLost-$51.4242647.9%204 W · 222 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Heart of Midlothian FC30c190$57 inLost-$571,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6f4b…ba66backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz72c140.12$100 inWon+$39.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Heart of Midlothian FC19c123.4$23 inLost-$23.1599435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Heart of Midlothian FC17c98.47$17 inLost-$16.9341238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf78b…3a8abacked Heart of Midlothian FC28c88.33$25 inLost-$25.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-52.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz72c80$58 inWon+$22.45743.9%25 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Heart of Midlothian FC29c70$20 inLost-$20.31533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Heart of Midlothian FC28c64.85$18 inLost-$18.1629858.4%174 W · 124 L+17.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz69c57.22$40 inWon+$17.4720832.2%67 W · 141 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz70c30.01$21 inWon+$9.0936742.8%157 W · 210 L-22.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz72c30$22 inWon+$8.416350.9%83 W · 80 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x653b…685ebacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz71c28.17$20 inWon+$8.171266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ff…4e38backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz71c27.33$19 inWon+$8785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz71c14.47$10 inWon+$4.1387531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.