Champions League · resolved market
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d378c2d3b32081d3821373be0680cd3765e7f6a303b7cd465cfc1094a95dad5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Under | 61c | 2,550$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 40c | 2,386$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.5 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 10c | 2,053$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.11 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 40c | 2,023$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.32 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 60c | 1,831$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.53 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 28c | 1,163$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.35 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…93d2backed Over | 41c | 1,158$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Under | 63c | 959.06$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.06 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 32c | 854.74$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.92 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 59c | 771.72$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.74 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 36c | 545.48$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.07 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 20c | 385.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 35c | 385.53$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.19 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 7c | 357.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 62c | 330.96$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.34 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 61c | 289.81$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.11 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 39c | 277.24$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 37c | 274.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 38c | 255.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf04…90b5backed Over | 41c | 223.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.47 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 14c | 214.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Over | 20c | 177.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Under | 74c | 170$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 40c | 144$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 54c | 117.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…9bdcbacked Under | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 11c | 101.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Under | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a6…fd20backed Under | 68c | 60.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…e0b2backed Under | 60c | 49.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 38c | 39.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 39c | 36.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Over | 38c | 29.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…dc9cbacked Under | 63c | 25.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 63c | 25.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ff…4c16backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 66c | 24.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 66c | 18.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…7424backed Under | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 80cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 3.5this page
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 0.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 1.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 2.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 4.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 5.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 0.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 1.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Team to AdvanceSK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-2.5)SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
- Spread: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-1.5)SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
- Spread: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-2.5)Heart of Midlothian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.