Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x528bea70de206643d49a9eb8646fa44146339683e1b69c8d21eab18a01368a0a

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $52,938
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $63,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,938 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	49c	8,223$4,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,040.17	1,994	43.9%875 W · 1,119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	44c	4,113$1,794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,793.92	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	55c	3,472$1,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,562.42	82	23.2%19 W · 63 L	-9.7wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over	55c	3,270$1,802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,467.79	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa516…0392backed Under	18c	2,888$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.79	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	12cpaid	+733.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	41c	2,525$1,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,028.45	723	35.5%257 W · 466 L	-28.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68af…93d2backed Over	65c	2,255$1,463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$792.17	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under	1c	1,990$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.9	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+101.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Over	43c	1,520$652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$867.34	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over	64c	1,429$914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$514.33	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over	51c	1,424$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$693.56	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	46c	1,233$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.47	446	47.3%211 W · 235 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	38c	1,202$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.75	1,021	35.3%360 W · 661 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	54c	976.02$527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.1	328	43.6%143 W · 185 L	-10.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	16c	900.14$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.02	338	44.7%151 W · 187 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed Over	59c	855.18$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.19	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under	3c	833.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	59	22%13 W · 46 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over	38c	789.99$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.79	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over	61c	760.71$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.68	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	+7.0wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	23c	704.67$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.21	230	31.7%73 W · 157 L	-18.8wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under	49c	614.74$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.37	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under	70c	580.44$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.07	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf04…90b5backed Over	43c	489.28$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.89	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-3.9wins	-0.26per pick	39cpaid	-70.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	53c	455.48$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.52	274	50.7%139 W · 135 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under	46c	434.78$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	14c	356.37$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.26	376	49.5%186 W · 190 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	16c	334$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.44	520	46.7%243 W · 277 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over	30c	277.43$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.2	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	48c	267.79$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.6	308	56.8%175 W · 133 L	+11.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under	48c	250.2$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.16	170	58.8%100 W · 70 L	+10.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Under	17c	236.03$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.77	179	7.8%14 W · 165 L	-8.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over	46c	200$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+4.1wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under	39c	199.69$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.88	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x331a…bfccbacked Over	51c	194.23$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over	55c	182$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.9	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over	55c	173.06$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.78	125	51.2%64 W · 61 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	114	64.9%74 W · 40 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	67cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	47c	151$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.93	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	8c	133$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.64	55	30.9%17 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over	41c	120.49$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.49	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+2.5wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	56c	113$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.04	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under	53c	104.26$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.26	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over	47c	104.26$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.26	51	35.3%18 W · 33 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over	31c	100$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.31per pick	35cpaid	+63%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	45c	94.3$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.07	135	67.4%91 W · 44 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over	54c	90.78$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.76	107	52.3%56 W · 51 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	16c	80.24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.84	607	48.4%294 W · 313 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	15c	74.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.46	167	43.7%73 W · 94 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over	70c	74.29$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.29	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	67cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over	35c	69.99$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.5	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under	27c	64$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	19c	55$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	245	45.3%111 W · 134 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Over	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Over	55c	47.6$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.42	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	29c	46.68$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.59	424	38%161 W · 263 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb35d…363bbacked Under	65c	44.15$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cf…bdf6backed Over	54c	34.24$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.75	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under	37c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	75	48%36 W · 39 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over	54c	26.5$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.19	110	35.5%39 W · 71 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under	46c	26.5$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over	58c	24.57$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.32	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+3.3wins	+0.16per pick	56cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over	55c	22.87$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.34	159	54.7%87 W · 72 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 1.5this page
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 0.5Over won
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 2.5Under won
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 3.5Under won
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 4.5Under won
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 5.5Under won
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 0.5Over won
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 1.5Over won
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Team to AdvanceSK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-2.5)SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
Spread: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-1.5)SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
Spread: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-2.5)Heart of Midlothian FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event