TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Team to Advance

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
SK Puntigamer Sturm Grazof Heart of Midlothian FC, SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,306

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,622 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Heart of Midlothian FC11c51,228$5,566 inLost-$5,566.2991032.6%297 W · 613 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Heart of Midlothian FC4c20,035$747 inLost-$7471625%4 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+341.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Heart of Midlothian FC4c17,689$723 inLost-$723.45639.3%22 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+59.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Heart of Midlothian FC6c5,895$380 inLost-$379.981435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Heart of Midlothian FC6c5,193$304 inLost-$304.471127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Heart of Midlothian FC37c4,844$1,786 inLost-$1,785.685942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Heart of Midlothian FC4c2,736$108 inLost-$108.052437.5%9 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+162.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Heart of Midlothian FC3c1,149$37 inLost-$36.8450%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa763…6116backed Heart of Midlothian FC7c1,074$70 inLost-$70425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick5cpaid+562%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe6…4a1bbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz58c964$558 inWon+$406.061553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Heart of Midlothian FC4c633.03$23 inLost-$23.4216035.6%57 W · 103 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Heart of Midlothian FC8c618.83$50 inLost-$502429.2%7 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick17cpaid+79.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf15e…80b5backed Heart of Midlothian FC7c608.75$42 inLost-$41.81475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Heart of Midlothian FC4c585$23 inLost-$23.415648.1%75 W · 81 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Heart of Midlothian FC3c528.59$14 inLost-$14.274447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Heart of Midlothian FC3c524.75$18 inLost-$17.7539849.2%196 W · 202 L+19.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Heart of Midlothian FC4c405.41$15 inLost-$153627.8%10 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-35.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd439…21d3backed Heart of Midlothian FC4c394.74$15 inLost-$15540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Heart of Midlothian FC6c345.47$21 inLost-$21.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6af7…89c9backed Heart of Midlothian FC5c334.36$17 inLost-$17.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Heart of Midlothian FC5c319.98$17 inLost-$16.85244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Heart of Midlothian FC6c183.33$11 inLost-$11450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d2d…2be7backed Heart of Midlothian FC16c62.5$10 inLost-$101573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+153.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz64c50$32 inWon+$18.121416.8%36 W · 178 L-38.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-69.6%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz76c17.64$13 inWon+$4.22240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.