TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
SK Puntigamer Sturm Grazof SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz, Heart of Midlothian FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,079 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz11c2,577$286 inWon+$2,29113738.7%53 W · 84 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Heart of Midlothian FC64c1,459$939 inLost-$939.0572335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz11c880$97 inWon+$783.21,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz9c409.88$37 inWon+$372.443528.6%10 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+72.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz10c220$22 inWon+$1982138.1%8 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+192.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz45c150.48$68 inWon+$82.4727450.7%139 W · 135 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Heart of Midlothian FC55c100$55 inLost-$5523031.7%73 W · 157 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz17c88.24$15 inWon+$73.247027.1%19 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Heart of Midlothian FC55c26.48$15 inLost-$14.516546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Heart of Midlothian FC54c24$13 inLost-$12.967356.2%41 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.