Champions League · resolved market
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5477cd4ff436283746b2c50ec46d313a1f863c2bf2548e1de3ae3a248b064d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 8,228$5,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,262.33 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 37c | 5,251$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,307.97 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 3,013$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.79 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…280ebacked No | 65c | 2,278$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 36c | 1,946$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.64 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,491$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.47 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 35c | 1,344$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.76 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 1,277$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.47 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 35c | 491.61$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.73 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 37c | 420.14$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.16 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked No | 70c | 354.16$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 23c | 273$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 34c | 261.49$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 36c | 256$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.84 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 63c | 250$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.5 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed Yes | 37c | 199.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…bf47backed Yes | 63c | 159.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 38c | 139.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.26 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 63c | 137.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.78 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 35c | 122$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 36c | 117.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 77c | 98.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed No | 26c | 92.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 44c | 83.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 62c | 69.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 48c | 59.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 33c | 55.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 24c | 54.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 212 | 17%36 W · 176 L | -37.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 37c | 50.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 64c | 44.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 43c | 44.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 75c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked No | 65c | 39.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a14…d00fbacked Yes | 64c | 35.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 45c | 33.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…45d4backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…b567backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 62c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 67c | 24.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked No | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 73c | 18.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 60c | 16.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…12dabacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 0.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 1.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 2.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 3.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 4.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 5.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 0.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 1.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Team to AdvanceSK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-2.5)SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
- Spread: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-1.5)SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
- Spread: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-2.5)Heart of Midlothian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.