Champions League · resolved market
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39dcee2f5e936f9e6b18ea2796b06be57467d5a92a6be31495f6deec5a9d10f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 19c | 12,465$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,067.46 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 75c | 5,582$4,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,186.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 3,972$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.51 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 70c | 2,585$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.95 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 2,454$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.78 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 62c | 2,317$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.52 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 56c | 1,705$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.81 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 23c | 1,460$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 74c | 1,088$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.28 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Under | 29c | 998.65$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.17 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 53c | 964.84$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Over | 80c | 949.85$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.88 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 79c | 916.41$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.6 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Over | 77c | 825$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 59c | 717.58$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 71c | 659.9$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.9 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 56c | 521.75$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.45 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 61c | 511.74$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.4 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Under | 58c | 424.83$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.43 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Under | 26c | 368.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.12 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Under | 11c | 343.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.04 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 75c | 328.02$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 62c | 306.49$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.84 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 27c | 301.07$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.21 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Over | 80c | 229.39$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.51 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 59c | 190.82$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 69c | 166.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.21 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 58c | 153$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 19c | 144.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 212 | 17%36 W · 176 L | -37.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 64c | 128.14$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Over | 73c | 125.53$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 60c | 124.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 121.93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5909…9c8cbacked Under | 13c | 119.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 45c | 101.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Under | 64c | 61.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 56c | 60.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed Over | 54c | 53.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Under | 64c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 30c | 41.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 46c | 39.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 31c | 33.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Under | 60c | 31.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 78c | 25.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 79c | 17.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 0.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 1.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 2.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 3.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 4.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 5.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 0.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 1.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Team to AdvanceSK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-2.5)SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
- Spread: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-1.5)SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz won
- Spread: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-2.5)Heart of Midlothian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.