Europa Conference League · resolved market
Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccafb734e6bbec17d7f75a7987e66d91846dc2ed3ff11e8384ae40c10a9082ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 29c | 3,072$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.62 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…0392backed Under | 67c | 2,616$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 1,682$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.66 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 33c | 1,610$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.26 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 67c | 1,304$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.45 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 33c | 1,260$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.92 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 1,214$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.92 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 53c | 1,000$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.84 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 67c | 756.86$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.68 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…6b98backed Under | 71c | 443.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 49c | 384.22$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.43 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 68c | 371.23$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.68 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 67c | 253.17$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…1b9ebacked Over | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 33c | 239.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 29c | 222$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 49c | 205.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 53c | 188.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc162…40bbbacked Over | 28c | 175.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Over | 31c | 162.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 70c | 141.26$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 76c | 130.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 47c | 128$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 70c | 109.87$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 50c | 97.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 61c | 84.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 71c | 74.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 32c | 69.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Under | 74c | 67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 69c | 46.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Under | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 26c | 38.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 59c | 32.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 66c | 30.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 54c | 22.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 72c | 17.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 3.5this page
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: Hammarby Fotboll 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: Hammarby Fotboll O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: Hammarby Fotboll O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: Hammarby Fotboll O/U 2.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Hammarby Fotboll (-1.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: Hammarby Fotboll (-2.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)Hammarby Fotboll won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-2.5)Hammarby Fotboll won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.