Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2facc52d9adfbf1a69527908d4f9b8545338ed082050211f9d052612a8a59eb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb340…1ad1backed Over | 77c | 44,613$34,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,260.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Under | 23c | 43,013$9,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,892.92 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 11c | 14,391$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.63 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63f…5225backed Over | 78c | 10,244$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 77c | 5,993$4,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.39 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca64…4f43backed Over | 77c | 4,805$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 23c | 4,457$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.6 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 22c | 4,248$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.93 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 21c | 4,185$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.62 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 78c | 2,957$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.74 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 2,350$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.34 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 22c | 1,933$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.26 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 22c | 1,596$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.42 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 19c | 1,566$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.41 | 173 | 39.9%69 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…e22bbacked Over | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 12c | 930$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 902.46$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.98 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Over | 77c | 575.32$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 23c | 495.1$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.87 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…0c67backed Over | 79c | 495$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 10c | 444.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked Under | 19c | 397.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 18c | 327.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 19c | 297.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2a…39bdbacked Over | 79c | 234.18$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…f9e6backed Over | 78c | 197$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Under | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cef…eb15backed Over | 79c | 158.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 22c | 153.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 76c | 130.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 8c | 128$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…fc72backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…b7f9backed Over | 79c | 106.3$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x539c…29b1backed Over | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Over | 80c | 101.01$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Over | 80c | 101$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…40c5backed Over | 77c | 97.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 79c | 94.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 19c | 88.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 24c | 80.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 80c | 76.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…b665backed Under | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 20c | 59.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0a…7f1bbacked Over | 79c | 54.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Over | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 76c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…8eb3backed Over | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…ba51backed Over | 77c | 35.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…2044backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…3d52backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff2…2752backed Over | 77c | 21.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…c2bbbacked Over | 77c | 21.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadf…40adbacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…f9b0backed Over | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedaf…5e45backed Over | 77c | 17.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0089…1a15backed Over | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1300…d632backed Over | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…bab4backed Over | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Chelsea FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Chelsea FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Chelsea FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Chelsea FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Fulham FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Fulham FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Fulham FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Fulham FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Fulham FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.