TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Chelsea FC O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,466
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,466 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x620b…2e9fbacked Under52c10,000$5,200 inLost-$5,199.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over48c8,294$3,981 inWon+$4,312.674847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over50c5,331$2,655 inWon+$2,675.8515547.1%73 W · 82 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c2,355$1,165 inLost-$1,165.2455751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c1,866$887 inLost-$887.431,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c1,250$477 inLost-$477.226,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over49c1,024$500 inWon+$523.993154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over78c949.9$744 inWon+$206.41,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under21c387.23$80 inLost-$79.5457833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under48c329.9$158 inLost-$158.359735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under48c303.81$146 inLost-$145.8312562.4%78 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over54c262.96$142 inWon+$120.9615347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95c1…f4ffbacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon+$108.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf6…f90ebacked Under52c205.97$107 inLost-$107.1120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c200.13$105 inWon+$95.3854340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under48c170.38$82 inLost-$82.3659247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed73…7164backed Over69c115$79 inWon+$35.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over74c105$78 inWon+$27.33672.2%26 W · 10 L+10.9wins+0.30per pick42cpaid+99.7%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xb99d…e4e5backed Over56c80.36$45 inWon+$35.361650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Over77c64.64$50 inWon+$14.873271.9%23 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under23c64.64$15 inLost-$14.874035%14 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…c1f1backed Over54c55.56$30 inWon+$25.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under21c54$11 inLost-$11.2215749.7%78 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over74c50$37 inWon+$137652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over53c44.87$24 inWon+$21.261,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3176…fd81backed Over54c43.96$24 inWon+$20.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under49c43.96$21 inLost-$21.4411844.9%53 W · 65 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x604e…f1cdbacked Over48c33$16 inWon+$17.161145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over73c30$22 inWon+$841260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8f1…478bbacked Over53c30$16 inWon+$14.12955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Over51c25.9$13 inWon+$12.62147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50f1…4040backed Over52c21.15$11 inWon+$10.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over74c18.47$14 inWon+$4.81464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.