South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd186657eb82b0cdf4c756d689d402bf8f7f90c1e4b8335c82141544e5bf6f75f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 30c | 4,962$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 4,434$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Over | 34c | 3,150$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 32c | 2,108$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.4 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 70c | 1,756$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.21 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 31c | 1,342$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.82 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 66c | 599.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 34c | 571.42$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.28 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 450.18$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 70c | 374.88$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.47 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 66c | 344.91$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.27 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 66c | 323.62$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.03 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 70c | 322.17$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 66c | 310.81$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 9c | 246.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 29c | 231.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 78c | 215.86$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 66c | 189$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 70c | 158.57$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 70c | 150.3$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 70c | 150.3$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 31c | 120.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Under | 71c | 104.31$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 70c | 101.68$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Over | 32c | 93.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 70c | 89.68$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 26c | 85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Over | 30c | 64.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 71c | 63.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 71c | 58.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 70c | 53.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under | 70c | 53.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…32e0backed Over | 26c | 40.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…002fbacked Over | 30c | 36.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 70c | 26.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 71c | 20.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…f9b0backed Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 70c | 14.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: Instituto AC Córdoba 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: Instituto AC Córdoba O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)Instituto AC Córdoba won
- Spread: Instituto AC Córdoba (-1.5)CA Lanús won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.