South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7677652577a1eacc32f96a96f15708ef44af150a4e38314b7c11a416e556f266
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 3,460$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.73 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 60c | 3,070$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.54 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Under | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 1,334$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.27 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 43c | 1,307$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.62 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 548.67$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.34 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 48c | 504.88$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.88 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Over | 57c | 414.04$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…42f2backed Over | 36c | 369.44$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 56c | 268.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 60c | 254.9$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.26 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 49c | 198.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 49c | 185.54$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.37 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 56c | 179.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 7c | 168.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 216 | 38.4%83 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 51c | 151.18$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 52c | 116.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 50c | 109.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 40c | 103.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 51c | 101.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…6533backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 51c | 97.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 25c | 91.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…34b7backed Over | 54c | 91.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…1942backed Over | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 54c | 69.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 52c | 64.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 35c | 57.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…32e0backed Over | 45c | 49.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 416 | 62%258 W · 158 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Over | 58c | 34.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 47c | 33.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under | 47c | 33.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3756…b936backed Over | 51c | 31.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 34c | 30.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 68c | 24.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked Under | 52c | 22.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: Instituto AC Córdoba 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: Instituto AC Córdoba O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)Instituto AC Córdoba won
- Spread: Instituto AC Córdoba (-1.5)CA Lanús won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.