Middle East · resolved market
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad5873e68e236470c7ada70a48e4a1d846e68a5703f352695ea62418781fc9bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 66c | 5,300$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.02 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed No | 2c | 3,300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 1c | 3,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 36c | 2,028$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.26 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 14c | 1,489$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.85 | 77 | 9.1%7 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 1,405$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 61c | 1,366$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.88 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,289$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.44 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed No | 18c | 1,265$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…9281backed No | 68c | 1,232$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.14 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed No | 15c | 988.69$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 74c | 884.79$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.37 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 4c | 855.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 60c | 836.2$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.99 | 173 | 59.5%103 W · 70 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 5c | 731.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 18c | 729.95$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.7 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 77c | 727$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.38 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…27d2backed Yes | 29c | 699.98$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 4c | 634.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 13c | 576.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 55c | 571.46$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.3 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e6…a59dbacked No | 12c | 488.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 6c | 437.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…0ca3backed No | 11c | 430$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2434…05eabacked No | 26c | 400$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked No | 6c | 390.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 13c | 386.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 38c | 373.22$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.43 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…82abbacked Yes | 74c | 351.95$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…f35cbacked No | 45c | 322.4$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.38 | 186 | 39.8%74 W · 112 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.43 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 30c | 291.66$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +19.6wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4656…41d7backed No | 9c | 289.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…96d3backed No | 13c | 261.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed No | 22c | 259.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…5c83backed No | 11c | 246.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 9c | 243.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | +12.1wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked No | 12c | 240$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8199…bb6dbacked Yes | 29c | 200$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd0…c562backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked No | 22c | 199.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 70c | 186.43$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed No | 7c | 174.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed No | 25c | 170.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…5996backed No | 19c | 169.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +12.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked No | 13c | 165.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 216 | 31.9%69 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes | 65c | 152.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 145.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…5ab4backed No | 11c | 143.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb46c…c34dbacked Yes | 30c | 140$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +234.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 79c | 131.71$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 73c | 123.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed No | 68c | 120$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 67c | 118.56$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 114.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed No | 12c | 110.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…37efbacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…8688backed Yes | 34c | 95.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 38c | 92.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…8ba8backed No | 22c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…ec4fbacked No | 25c | 81.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +1,142.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd3…7c75backed No | 74c | 80.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Yes | 72c | 80.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked No | 53c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 33c | 69.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 25c | 57.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 337 | 41.2%139 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 30c | 53.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…962fbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960a…1b17backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 25cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…3404backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb119…680bbacked No | 44c | 49.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cd…6055backed Yes | 61c | 48.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7010…eedebacked No | 24c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4821…6ab1backed Yes | 30c | 42.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 46c | 41.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…e629backed Yes | 57c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…f623backed Yes | 41c | 39.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae6…e440backed Yes | 76c | 35.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e7…98b8backed Yes | 75c | 32.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…6413backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…cb5ebacked No | 71c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf574…6163backed Yes | 76c | 20.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…8262backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9291…71a2backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +37%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…08a9backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 69cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…f9b0backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 77c | 16.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4df…d3dabacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…2fd9backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5896…447cbacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…83e5backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed No | 70c | 14.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?this page
- Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 17, 2026?No won
- Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.