South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc96ee22246329dbd162fdcfea73129a67021e317290a5c599f252f47d11b41e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 2,162$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.7 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 51c | 2,105$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.53 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 53c | 1,521$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.18 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 2c | 1,010$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 33c | 798$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.34 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 2c | 683.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 10c | 667.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 67c | 378.06$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.76 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 67c | 372$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.76 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 48c | 292.53$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.57 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb696…7a4ebacked Under | 38c | 287.15$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 268.56$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 36c | 218.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 215.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 29c | 182.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…39bbbacked Over | 69c | 137.75$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 73c | 133.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4a…4b20backed Over | 71c | 119.27$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 64c | 102.66$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…3a83backed Under | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 61c | 92.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 68c | 89.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 78c | 86.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 85.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 52c | 83.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 53c | 74.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5881…ca26backed Over | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 53c | 51.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 53c | 51.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 67c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 53c | 42.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 35c | 38.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 64c | 33.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 66c | 22.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…f9b0backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a98…df3bbacked Over | 53c | 19.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: Cruzeiro EC O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: Cruzeiro EC O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 5.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)Cruzeiro EC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.