TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,181 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb184…b6c6backed Over31c3,503$1,100 inLost-$1,1003537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under77c2,907$2,249 inWon+$657.982,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over18c1,785$324 inLost-$324.4675240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over9c1,006$92 inLost-$91.879714.4%14 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under69c536.41$372 inWon+$164.855,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over21c513.07$106 inLost-$105.88,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over19c317.5$61 inLost-$60.531,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over20c238.55$48 inLost-$48.2921638.4%83 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over19c120$23 inLost-$22.811454.4%62 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Over19c119.99$22 inLost-$22.510442.3%44 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over16c97.21$16 inLost-$15.5515625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ee0…4078backed Under78c76.92$60 inWon+$16.92666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under79c50.63$40 inWon+$10.636877.9%53 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under73c39.45$29 inWon+$10.772,17343.6%948 W · 1,225 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.