South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x348fa3bfd8b2ec3164e77d0589c250a26fa7265b9078fbfac9b00efa7e277b8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 66c | 887.26$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.59 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 728.6$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.89 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 39c | 678.79$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.68 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Yes | 44c | 606.25$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 50c | 605.4$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 45c | 541.05$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.58 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 404.58$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.27 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 45c | 211.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.39 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 55c | 171.05$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 55c | 144$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 61c | 98.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 45c | 89.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 63c | 82.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 57c | 80.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…3447backed Yes | 34c | 57.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 56c | 53.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2183backed Yes | 60c | 41.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 58c | 37.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 47c | 30.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 47c | 30.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 23.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 56c | 23.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 59c | 22.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 66c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: Cruzeiro EC O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: Cruzeiro EC O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 5.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)Cruzeiro EC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.