La Liga · resolved market
Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe773946f8049877061dbd37367a6b18f905aeea3320d0cc20e09e93e25840132
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 38c | 2,100$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 37c | 2,070$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.44 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 1,662$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.72 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 70c | 1,036$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 983.78$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.19 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…a939backed Over | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…04cfbacked Over | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 388.41$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.48 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 38c | 336.84$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.84 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 70c | 228.57$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…aeddbacked Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked Under | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 42c | 196.8$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 30c | 149.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.76 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 16c | 131.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 64c | 130.82$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 76c | 128$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 24c | 122$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 56c | 120.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Over | 69c | 102.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 48c | 97.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 29c | 71.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 30c | 67.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 43c | 67.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…e6ecbacked Over | 50c | 53.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…fbf2backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 23c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…7762backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 48c | 44.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 33c | 44.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Under | 46c | 43.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Under | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 51c | 39.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…ab88backed Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 42c | 36.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 58c | 36.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 43c | 30.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…f9b0backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…811cbacked Over | 75c | 14.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5this page
- Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: O/U 0.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)CD Leganés won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)CD Leganés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.