La Liga · resolved market
Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0630fe19057873d3693c27d2357a23c66ce7ed4c83c96610a10dc2283e28cf40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc466…3f77backed Over | 32c | 2,480$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 2,394$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.2 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 50c | 2,070$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.7 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 1,795$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.7 | 841 | 44.8%377 W · 464 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 1,583$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.51 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Over | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 355.33$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.67 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 264.02$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.71 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Over | 18c | 234.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 48c | 204.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 1,017 | 33.4%340 W · 677 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 50c | 174.09$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.43 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 169.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.29 | 653 | 56.5%369 W · 284 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 50c | 158.62$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 116.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 47c | 99.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…7762backed Over | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…e303backed Over | 29c | 54.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 49c | 53.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 610 | 32.3%197 W · 413 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 51c | 49.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Over | 51c | 49.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 51c | 46.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 51c | 46.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 38c | 44.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 47c | 41.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 52c | 38.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 37.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 205 | 33.7%69 W · 136 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 70c | 29.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 49c | 27.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 50c | 26.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 74c | 24.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac2…4fd8backed Under | 51c | 24.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 52c | 22.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 67c | 22.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 49c | 21.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -6.4wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 62c | 18.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 30 | 86.7%26 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5this page
- Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: O/U 0.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)CD Leganés won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)CD Leganés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.