Europa Conference League · resolved market
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39348f0296190ed44e4882aca3639338829861abeed2c3450f602c71c26ce5e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 9,894$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.64 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 73c | 6,744$4,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.44 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 6,384$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,942.48 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 5,205$2,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.59 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 68c | 1,788$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.53 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…3fd4backed Over | 54c | 1,787$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 18c | 1,108$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.39 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 43c | 995.55$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.99 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +305.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 58c | 851.46$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.98 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 20c | 749.2$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.95 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 47c | 679.65$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.29 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 11c | 586.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.84 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Under | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 12cpaid | +372.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 56c | 457.68$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.23 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 433$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.42 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 7c | 352.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.49 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 14c | 300$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 33c | 299.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 8c | 296.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 79c | 291$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.15 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 37c | 254.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.79 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 797 | 32.2%257 W · 540 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Over | 72c | 198.49$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a3…121fbacked Over | 77c | 197.28$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 25c | 192.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 18c | 130.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.49 | 443 | 56.2%249 W · 194 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 17c | 123.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 20c | 119.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.79 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 12c | 107.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf6…baf9backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…dbaebacked Over | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2adb…9e4bbacked Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x058a…7fdbbacked Under | 38c | 65.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2153backed Over | 80c | 62.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 22c | 62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 74c | 61.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Over | 24c | 60.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 48c | 60.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 18c | 59.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 20c | 59.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 19c | 58.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Under | 34c | 42.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 27c | 41.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…dcf1backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa236…4cbbbacked Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 49c | 23.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…f9b0backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 76cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 76c | 18.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd70f…38b1backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5this page
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: Beşiktaş JK O/U 0.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: Beşiktaş JK O/U 1.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: Beşiktaş JK O/U 2.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: FC Midtjylland O/U 0.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: FC Midtjylland O/U 1.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)FC Midtjylland won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)FC Midtjylland won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.