TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,305
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,937

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,305 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c24,816$15,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,557.783,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Over39c20,656$8,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,009.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over58c8,329$4,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,846.7116940.2%68 W · 101 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over48c4,677$2,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.952,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c3,664$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.222,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over37c3,112$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.331,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over54c3,000$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.533740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Under43c2,942$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.861127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under43c2,500$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.8469448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3281…abefbacked Over17c2,353$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Under41c2,255$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.571338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under42c1,986$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.8617446%80 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under62c1,270$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.5885260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under43c1,073$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.8366150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over19c1,027$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.382,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58096947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under44c863.95$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.952740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over45c809.93$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.472532%8 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under43c753.77$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.2127545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Under43c726.74$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.24825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over55c703.25$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.751,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under65c610$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.8753564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed Under40c599.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick39cpaid+88.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c570.83$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.541,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Under43c563.35$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.11922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over53c563.23$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.511643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over56c535.7$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.991315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-78.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x71ba…dc2bbacked Over57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under41c500$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.4865549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b81…b60ebacked Over61c489.75$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over58c441$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.7818145.9%83 W · 98 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68af…93d2backed Over60c421.02$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.61728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over60c366.67$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204045%18 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under57c350.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.879152.7%48 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over56c347$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9817233.7%58 W · 114 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under42c346.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.844156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under42c343.98$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.516923.2%16 W · 53 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under47c311.67$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.3629959.5%178 W · 121 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under46c309.41$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.0865535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb3…f38fbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd754…5222backed Over54c283.74$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4079…8735backed Under46c244.54$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under73c240$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6435146.2%162 W · 189 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over32c232.21$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0511839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under60c207.27$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9229654.1%160 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under40c205.12$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.721,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1b1…b9bcbacked Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Under43c199.98$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.991050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over58c189.66$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under40c179.4$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2450154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under40c172.78$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6756849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under48c168.62$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.272944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9786…7f05backed Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001513.3%2 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-74.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under40c165.02$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0129337.9%111 W · 182 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x924c…fc41backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under44c159.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4147649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf452…4d43backed Over57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under46c140$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.616443.9%72 W · 92 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91d7…fba6backed Over55c129.93$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under47c118.82$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.471,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7b0…9178backed Over55c116.36$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507628.9%22 W · 54 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under41c107.28$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.313050%65 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Under43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578540%34 W · 51 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over15c98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.870239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9288…4678backed Over56c89.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502512%3 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-55.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…446cbacked Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4423949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under42c72.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.328461.9%52 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0435…a10ebacked Under43c72.67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.422634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d7c…a9b9backed Over58c70.69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Under58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.43348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under49c68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.788550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d2b…d9a5backed Over53c63.45$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under26c60.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.42142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x672d…97f1backed Over28c60.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-73.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8509…fd97backed Under62c51.18$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.414139%16 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910238.2%39 W · 63 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246030%18 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under39c48.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.742937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over58c46.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8137750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8087…a213backed Over69c46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.741275%9 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Over57c36.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020660.2%124 W · 82 L-15.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over58c32.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1926647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under60c32.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1929470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over63c31.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7717855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Over65c30.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over58c30.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.779753.6%52 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed9f…b19dbacked Over60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1968…3efbbacked Over60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over52c24.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9145135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8249…9169backed Over57c24.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over57c23.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6133522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over57c21.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5115562.6%97 W · 58 L+22.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xace3…f9b0backed Over57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41154.5%6 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick76cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.