TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
FC Midtjyllandof Beşiktaş JK, FC Midtjylland
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,867
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,270

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,867 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed FC Midtjylland68c8,303$5,683 inWon+$2,619.843,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Beşiktaş JK27c4,164$1,143 inLost-$1,142.561,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Beşiktaş JK45c2,280$1,030 inLost-$1,030.112,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Beşiktaş JK21c2,267$476 inLost-$475.82,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Beşiktaş JK44c1,089$482 inLost-$481.925328.3%15 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed FC Midtjylland73c316.83$230 inWon+$86.4585260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed FC Midtjylland61c304.8$186 inWon+$118.952,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed FC Midtjylland56c263.68$147 inWon+$116.9229337.9%111 W · 182 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Beşiktaş JK25c140$35 inLost-$355030%15 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Beşiktaş JK25c134.72$34 inLost-$33.6811839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed FC Midtjylland64c133.33$86 inWon+$47.58540%34 W · 51 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Beşiktaş JK10c100$10 inLost-$1026417.8%47 W · 217 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2deb…a787backed Beşiktaş JK36c83.33$30 inLost-$302740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Midtjylland64c74$47 inWon+$26.642,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed FC Midtjylland69c64.3$44 inWon+$20.2429654.1%160 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed FC Midtjylland69c53.07$37 inWon+$16.3829470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.