Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadcea338d28d2d90d9e9ec6004f0d9ca9a25d91930981ff2f9941679bf83d0cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Midtjyllandof Beşiktaş JK, FC Midtjylland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb763…cce5backed FC Midtjylland | 34c | 4,075$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.54 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Beşiktaş JK | 49c | 4,013$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.5 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Midtjylland | 50c | 3,461$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.3 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed FC Midtjylland | 53c | 2,600$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.1 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Beşiktaş JK | 44c | 2,485$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.65 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5416…9d9cbacked Beşiktaş JK | 22c | 2,055$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Midtjylland | 56c | 1,755$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.66 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked FC Midtjylland | 77c | 1,432$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.32 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Beşiktaş JK | 40c | 803$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.27 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Beşiktaş JK | 48c | 747.12$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.62 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Beşiktaş JK | 66c | 450.13$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.09 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Beşiktaş JK | 72c | 416.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Beşiktaş JK | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed FC Midtjylland | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Beşiktaş JK | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Beşiktaş JK | 30c | 336.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FC Midtjylland | 29c | 328$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.88 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed FC Midtjylland | 51c | 286.68$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Beşiktaş JK | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked FC Midtjylland | 78c | 256$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa544…0c80backed Beşiktaş JK | 66c | 166.45$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed FC Midtjylland | 34c | 156.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…3211backed FC Midtjylland | 36c | 148.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FC Midtjylland | 34c | 134.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked FC Midtjylland | 36c | 127.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FC Midtjylland | 79c | 121.63$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Midtjylland | 78c | 114.74$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked FC Midtjylland | 73c | 112.76$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c1…7953backed Beşiktaş JK | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Beşiktaş JK | 46c | 101.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed FC Midtjylland | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a0aabacked FC Midtjylland | 78c | 81.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked FC Midtjylland | 78c | 80.03$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Beşiktaş JK | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…67c2backed Beşiktaş JK | 62c | 77.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FC Midtjylland | 64c | 65.81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed FC Midtjylland | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Beşiktaş JK | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FC Midtjylland | 75c | 49.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1c…c864backed Beşiktaş JK | 46c | 38.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Midtjylland | 47c | 30.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Beşiktaş JK | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Beşiktaş JK | 60c | 29.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed FC Midtjylland | 48c | 28.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed FC Midtjylland | 80c | 27.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked FC Midtjylland | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked FC Midtjylland | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed FC Midtjylland | 59c | 19.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e4…3014backed FC Midtjylland | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed FC Midtjylland | 80c | 13.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.72 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)this page
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: Beşiktaş JK O/U 0.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: Beşiktaş JK O/U 1.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: Beşiktaş JK O/U 2.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: FC Midtjylland O/U 0.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: FC Midtjylland O/U 1.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)FC Midtjylland won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.