La Liga · resolved market
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23774e9dd24677933e05149fe30a8dd8d886004922f54a004fa53381cf50c9af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 5,665$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.25 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 4,627$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.23 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 67c | 4,588$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 4,471$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.89 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 52c | 1,589$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Under | 31c | 1,202$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.14 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…afc1backed Over | 52c | 869.31$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 70c | 741$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.7 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 35c | 735.86$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 69c | 589.43$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.71 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 49c | 410.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 31c | 342.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.56 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 13c | 293.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Over | 69c | 230.51$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf025…48f8backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 30c | 216.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.21 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 172.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.35 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 39c | 160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 55c | 112.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 55c | 106.45$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 65c | 106$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 39c | 97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Under | 31c | 89.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +59%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 42c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 31c | 65.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Over | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 65c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 58c | 54.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35cf…6fabbacked Over | 38c | 54.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 49.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a5…3da0backed Over | 69c | 46.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 25c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over | 69c | 37.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…a49ebacked Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 67c | 33.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 72c | 26.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 58c | 25.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 30 | 86.7%26 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3950…0d49backed Over | 43c | 23.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…84a9backed Over | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…f9b0backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Under | 53c | 19.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 65c | 16.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 62c | 16.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: CE Sabadell FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-1.5)CE Sabadell FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.