La Liga · resolved market
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34946a17ae0cab5a4a17fe2b287b54aa9421047d3f3b1e9e4f557bb715bdd1e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 9,165$4,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,186.11 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 52c | 4,830$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.31 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,600$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…b473backed Over | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 1,557$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.1 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…afc1backed Over | 42c | 1,463$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Over | 31c | 1,150$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 65c | 1,076$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.68 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Under | 10c | 816.39$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 31c | 613.05$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.05 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 20c | 603$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Under | 6c | 510$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +171.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 65c | 402.99$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.94 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…04cfbacked Over | 68c | 380$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 54c | 373.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 43c | 349.97$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.79 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 47c | 266$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.64 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 75c | 261.63$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 57c | 241.53$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 56c | 231.49$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 65c | 229.23$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…c32abacked Over | 71c | 210.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…92c1backed Over | 14c | 175.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 53c | 170.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 25c | 146.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 61c | 132$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859f…0f26backed Over | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 21c | 96.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 61c | 93.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 47c | 93.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb561…5fd9backed Over | 57c | 62.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…20d5backed Over | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 23c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35cf…6fabbacked Over | 36c | 57.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 49c | 50.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 47c | 38.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 80c | 28.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 67c | 27.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 61c | 21.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 30 | 86.7%26 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 62c | 19.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 0.5this page
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: CE Sabadell FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-1.5)CE Sabadell FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.