La Liga · resolved market
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x663c2cd1b5fc7eb3da4f59fe43d5c13d29e9b55fd5a200733f33a277d729ea37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 43c | 5,349$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.05 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Under | 57c | 4,333$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 17c | 3,363$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.53 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 2,632$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.11 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 5c | 1,404$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 44c | 570.45$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…291fbacked Under | 57c | 312$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Under | 57c | 310$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 64c | 265.5$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.88 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 246.08$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.38 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked Over | 31c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 198$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Over | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 56c | 147.45$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 47c | 135.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 8c | 133.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 45c | 113$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 45c | 99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 93.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 18c | 75.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 42c | 59.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 78c | 59.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 78c | 54.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 76c | 52.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 152 | 60.5%92 W · 60 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a5…3da0backed Over | 43c | 33.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…187ebacked Over | 39c | 30.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 78c | 25.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 272 | 57.7%157 W · 115 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…dc74backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 65c | 22.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: CE Sabadell FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-1.5)CE Sabadell FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.