TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,868
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,642

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,868 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c16,892$8,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,439.018,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over60c12,786$7,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,645.332,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Under74c8,494$6,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.79560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over25c8,114$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.4772350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over23c3,602$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.175,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under24c1,782$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.7720036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over75c1,364$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.711,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under75c1,287$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.878755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over23c1,184$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.1411039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under47c1,086$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.723,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under52c861.89$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.4233152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under44c724.51$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.960156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under64c700.49$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.496665.2%43 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over30c690.91$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21012340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under39c642.26$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.4695155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over55c641.38$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.062,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under39c541.68$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.9246449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba1…88c1backed Over66c522.73$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under32c484.57$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.3955250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over75c412.87$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.9782434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e4…0720backed Over6c366.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over44c351.54$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.911,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over75c306.67$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under33c300.76$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1969453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under31c299.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.2412338.2%47 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under40c295.37$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.2950656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1134…47e5backed Over69c289.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c33…c397backed Over4c277.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under75c274.13$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9635240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1425…3bc8backed Under34c248.34$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.672065%13 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under28c217.38$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5119040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under40c195.8$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9472058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over57c179.67$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.489645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Under52c178.75$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.568760.9%53 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Under29c168.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9711220.5%23 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under51c168.92$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4910458.7%61 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under51c168.47$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.084372.1%31 W · 12 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+16.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under49c168.36$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.313856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under56c150.61$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2710766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over11c140.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159026.7%24 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…002fbacked Over55c123.06$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.263441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over42c117.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2445746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over71c101.4$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9917440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ff…879cbacked Under28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over31c92.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7319437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over24c88.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9951750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over33c87.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over47c84.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9821538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadd8…53c9backed Under25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23f8…2c9abacked Over65c79.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.89560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…f356backed Under56c71.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.391764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under33c65.49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.911155%61 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee3…2e6abacked Over17c64.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116426.6%17 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Under40c60.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.584456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under53c60.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.381770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over68c58.27$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4564633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab0d…bd78backed Under70c56.45$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under62c55.23$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8726465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under32c53.88$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6415041.3%62 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under69c48.52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2141262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under42c43.42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9816459.8%98 W · 66 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under71c42.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3633365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under54c41.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9915364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad63…c264backed Under56c39.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over45c38.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.541,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked Under75c32.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.31330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-41.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x62e8…a242backed Under66c32.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.316768.7%46 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under77c32.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4719155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67c0…00d7backed Under54c31.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.351637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b53…95c4backed Over49c30.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.735234.6%18 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdef1…e893backed Under41c26.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.951752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Over80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206561.5%40 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Over76c24.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.46877.9%53 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under57c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3219150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1c…d47dbacked Under53c22.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xace3…f9b0backed Over79c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.81866.7%12 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under77c17.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.032766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under62c16.56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.299149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac48…e505backed Over73c15.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.463043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.