TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: CS Independiente Rivadavia O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $757 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under55c468.74$257 inWon+$211.383,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbb…3ec7backed Over59c182.61$108 inLost-$107.74757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under41c177.46$73 inWon+$104.71,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a9d…de77backed Over38c171.05$65 inLost-$6540%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc88e…7643backed Over51c111.76$57 inLost-$5730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83b0…687ebacked Under65c66.69$43 inWon+$23.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b8…9240backed Over49c60.82$30 inLost-$29.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c41…41b2backed Over25c45.04$11 inLost-$11.26666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+134.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3743…7bc1backed Over59c42.37$25 inLost-$252642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a0c…eebfbacked Over52c28.8$15 inLost-$14.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb262…9b98backed Over64c23.44$15 inLost-$152466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under62c18.07$11 inWon+$6.8133152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.