South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17313f2a58e346687a7bddfaf408a5a98f2e214f9875657f6c2a0afe05948f57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Over | 38c | 46,198$17,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,823.62 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 63c | 6,500$4,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,089.99 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 62c | 6,449$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998.38 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 36c | 5,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.13 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 62c | 5,226$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.08 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 63c | 3,283$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.42 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 63c | 3,169$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.1 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 63c | 3,000$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 61c | 1,775$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.68 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 63c | 1,593$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.88 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 59c | 1,230$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.42 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 62c | 1,209$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.58 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 63c | 639.04$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.7 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 4c | 596.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Under | 44c | 552.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 63c | 529.59$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.64 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 514.22$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.45 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 63c | 500$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.11 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 63c | 400$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 63c | 385.41$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.81 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 63c | 368$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.84 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 62c | 344.18$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.61 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 63c | 317.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Under | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 39c | 206.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.45 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 64c | 195.6$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.18 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 57c | 172.57$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.84 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 60c | 162.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 63c | 155$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 28c | 151.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 145.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 63c | 145.62$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 57c | 115.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Under | 43c | 113.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 45c | 112.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 109.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…23e5backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 43c | 83.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 69.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 57c | 66.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 19c | 60.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 57c | 56.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 64c | 49.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 39c | 48.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 63c | 36.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 63c | 33.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Under | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 39c | 29.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 60c | 29.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Over | 69c | 28.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa14…6e3abacked Under | 62c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 63c | 26.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 43c | 26.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 63c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 63c | 23.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 62c | 21.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…d3dbbacked Under | 64c | 19.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…99c1backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: CS Independiente Rivadavia O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Sarmiento (-1.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: CA Sarmiento (-2.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)CA Sarmiento won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5)CA Sarmiento won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.