South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed1777e55a8b49473286a513d36b906ba821639caf8ea1f79b0140a1a069c9ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 72c | 5,219$3,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.33 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 3,739$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.31 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 2,573$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.96 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Under | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 1,251$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.63 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 71c | 881.37$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.93 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 27c | 851.85$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…afc1backed Over | 71c | 788.91$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 2c | 749.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8407…c4b9backed Over | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 73c | 580.42$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.36 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 76c | 495.86$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.01 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 80c | 487.99$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…e61abacked Over | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 70c | 398.59$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.53 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 73c | 382.91$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.39 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 309.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 78c | 236.72$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…4bfbbacked Over | 79c | 223.01$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 79c | 219.06$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 77c | 145$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 79c | 102$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Under | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 26c | 75.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 73c | 74.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 27c | 74.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 27c | 74.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 28c | 50.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 30c | 44.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 74c | 42.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3172…7520backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ba…9ac0backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Over | 76c | 39.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…2f67backed Over | 65c | 38.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 77c | 25.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…f9b0backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…2837backed Over | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Over | 69c | 15.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Club León FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Club León FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Club León FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Club Necaxa O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Club Necaxa O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Club Necaxa O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Club León FC (-1.5)Club Necaxa won
- Spread: Club León FC (-2.5)Club Necaxa won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5)Club León FC won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-2.5)Club León FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.