TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,180

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,313 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c7,199$3,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,721.428,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c5,757$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,016.641,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c4,874$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.915,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c3,813$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.981,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over45c3,456$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.7475240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under49c3,270$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.532,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.9934747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Under1c2,949$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.493327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid+5.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under45c2,530$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.7449136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under47c2,463$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.6631136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005850%29 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.997248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71bf…f6edbacked Under45c1,640$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.06520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked Under51c1,639$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.323557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under50c1,580$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7904252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7051,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under57c1,437$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.51,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under53c1,321$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004944.9%22 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over43c1,221$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.173259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+55.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over53c1,149$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.261,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over56c1,042$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.2951945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004431.8%14 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45021366.7%142 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over55c837.4$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.9719447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4324346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under5c780$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over56c643.16$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.3348547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.242751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53de…409abacked Under49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over56c579.48$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.4325635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over49c431.44$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.444738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under53c404.89$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8412850%64 W · 64 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over61c361$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.7912156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under52c311.31$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.213,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under26c289.11$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5132139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb5…cabdbacked Over54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.78633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over52c276$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.488930.3%27 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under49c266.67$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6717049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under50c251.62$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.817748.1%37 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over56c245.92$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.891553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over55c231.34$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.232,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under47c231.33$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.172055%11 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over55c227$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.151,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over50c224.3$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.750643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over55c220$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9918050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under43c216.82$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7963061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over55c208.3$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0628851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9012933.3%43 W · 86 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under49c199.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.942,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over60c199.02$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6129245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under53c191.69$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5260156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under53c182.39$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1795155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under53c169.08$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2241262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under48c161.06$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.318746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under45c157.36$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.815042%21 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Under66c151.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005048%24 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Over47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.53545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c141.41$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.122,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over54c138.07$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.152,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under51c131$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4672058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dbe…7833backed Over43c116.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.271330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over75c99.75$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5289846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over60c96.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.931,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over56c91.49$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.267156.3%40 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over50c79.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8478756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb67a…340bbacked Over35c70$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over52c69.79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3166837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Over53c68$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.964856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Under50c67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.51566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9306…bc66backed Under59c66.02$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-55.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under48c60.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4816449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c60.66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.931,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Over52c58.67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.164353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over52c58.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9227855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over50c57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.519437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.514563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under47c48.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0769453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over52c48.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3716050.6%81 W · 79 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8fd…442fbacked Under63c48.55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under53c40.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4317852.8%94 W · 84 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5ad…cdfdbacked Under47c40.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Under40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90a1…fb15backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over50c38.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.047843.6%34 W · 44 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Over50c37.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.823743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over49c36.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.714252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over54c36.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.859852%51 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over47c34.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6525147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under39c34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.165054%27 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under48c33.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0334155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Under46c33.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.211060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under44c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.088756.3%49 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x42a0…a393backed Under65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.138233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4c…b93bbacked Under55c29.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.03966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under53c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.321752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Under39c29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3121938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Over49c28.37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.472352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.