South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ff91463f02002f2751e8615d8dd619e76e72feb96aae6714d684c922dfc6d3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 58c | 11,406$6,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,735.03 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 4,451$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.98 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 4,124$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.3 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 58c | 3,417$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.8 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 41c | 3,407$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.86 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 58c | 2,157$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.82 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 42c | 1,633$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.37 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 43c | 1,522$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.42 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 61c | 1,128$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.46 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 42c | 1,076$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.57 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 39c | 1,019$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.93 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 39c | 897.81$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 42c | 866$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.4 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 62c | 732.08$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.6 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 42c | 714$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 645.31$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.41 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 42c | 627$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.34 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 41c | 359.36$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.12 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 338.75$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.27 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 39c | 300$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 42c | 285$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.51 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 59c | 253.06$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 57c | 228.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 63c | 178.06$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…f7b8backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 96.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 42c | 87.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 62c | 86.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…2dd6backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.44per pick | 46cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Yes | 66c | 72.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 43c | 71.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 45c | 63.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 55c | 63.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 42c | 62.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 59c | 60.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 42c | 59.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 46c | 59.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 58.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 50c | 58.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 59c | 56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Yes | 57c | 55.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 55.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 62c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Yes | 60c | 53.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 42c | 53.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 52c | 50.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…f0b2backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 43c | 47.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 43c | 47.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 43c | 47.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 36c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3509…9e45backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed No | 42c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 40c | 37.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 52c | 36.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed No | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 56c | 20.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…affdbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Club León FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Club León FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Club León FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Club Necaxa O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Club Necaxa O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Club Necaxa O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Club León FC (-1.5)Club Necaxa won
- Spread: Club León FC (-2.5)Club Necaxa won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5)Club León FC won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-2.5)Club León FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.