TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,498

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,722 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56ac…d77ebacked No20c14,477$2,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,581.763857.9%22 W · 16 L+9.2wins+0.24per pick34cpaid+61.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No36c11,014$3,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,049.186232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Yes54c8,185$4,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,407.252157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes80c7,333$5,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,866.2710536.2%38 W · 67 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes38c7,272$2,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,728.221,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked No20c6,517$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,226.391145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes78c6,002$4,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,681.257549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes48c5,856$2,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,809.7846741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No22c5,113$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,988.1426645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes79c4,883$3,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,870.67941.8%33 W · 46 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No22c4,447$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,468.5937649.5%186 W · 190 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes78c3,695$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,880.3763346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No36c2,985$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,914.9416440.9%67 W · 97 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes60c2,406$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.491537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No41c2,120$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.872335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No20c1,618$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.5815442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd273…17eabacked Yes30c1,613$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.872846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes60c1,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002540%10 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8973…f760backed Yes24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602528%7 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+73.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No22c1,451$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.6543252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes59c1,164$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.7623031.7%73 W · 157 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No41c1,134$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.9844647.3%211 W · 235 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes78c1,111$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.583161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No71c1,015$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.260136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Yes78c1,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7801546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No22c977.51$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.7231847.5%151 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No26c922.63$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.679858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes78c916.66$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.2327031.5%85 W · 185 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c57…a7debacked No21c900$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711683.3%5 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.49per pick34cpaid+201.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No63c882.15$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.4539743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02f8…2239backed No20c857.15$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed No34c760$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.61546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes79c754$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.375265.4%34 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No21c733.19$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.222373.9%17 W · 6 L+6.1wins+0.27per pick47cpaid+62.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes22c727.24$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.797540%30 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Yes78c722.9$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.862040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3199…a419backed Yes10c650$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No20c585$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46813649.3%67 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Yes66c583$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.784065%26 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+43.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Yes78c567.08$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.324065%26 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Yes77c528.57$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed No40c501.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.984100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+109.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes78c500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3908038.8%31 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5254…891bbacked Yes59c466.81$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.422737%10 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No21c424.61$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.2152046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No70c423$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.924545.3%111 W · 134 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed No39c382.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.271060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes76c381.53$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.455151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe73…7d93backed Yes58c350.12$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes80c347.36$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.8932843.6%143 W · 185 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No34c299.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.3310539%41 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes78c295.73$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.791553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed No20c289.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.631471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+81.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes56c276.11$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.551,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes38c273.12$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8230856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf952…602fbacked Yes40c267.5$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.221612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-79.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed No39c258.31$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.675364.2%34 W · 19 L+8.6wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed No39c254.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.851070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes39c254.78$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1517058.8%100 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes34c221$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3612348.8%60 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked No37c203$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6714238%54 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No22c199.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.996858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed No43c192.61$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.88875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No38c189.62$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.572650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Yes14c172.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.156259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No61c171.31$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.423151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28b…60c6backed Yes59c168.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes28c166.64$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6112039.2%47 W · 73 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e5…e3d8backed Yes63c158.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes42c157.32$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.226544.6%29 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf464…5076backed No21c157.17$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ad…adb4backed No22c154$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+251.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes78c146$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.888060%48 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Yes69c145$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.51650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes21c138.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3815442.9%66 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes64c137.16$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6315954.7%87 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No70c125.44$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.344033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b0a…e482backed Yes79c125.38$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.051163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x276a…fc66backed No78c123.5$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.17977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes60c123.05$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746347.6%30 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7d7…e943backed Yes79c122$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No39c121$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8120947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe8…843fbacked Yes61c121$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d91…cdebbacked Yes12c120$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.92119%4 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes37c120$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3124340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Yes71c119.46$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.43852.6%20 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x381c…c62dbacked Yes78c119$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.82520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick64cpaid-66.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes65c117.41$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6514353.8%77 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Yes27c111.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No73c101.48$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-56.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes79c101.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806860.3%41 W · 27 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes33c96.92$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.07933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes78c96.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.436142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd20f…78e1backed No70c95$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.56100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+124%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0aba…1910backed Yes79c94.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick74cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.