TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,214 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa384…3c9fbacked Under0c25,000$25 inLost-$252050%10 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed Under24c3,800$895 inLost-$895.083016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Over79c1,310$1,035 inWon+$275.061346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick66cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under21c1,207$257 inLost-$256.581,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over78c1,149$892 inWon+$257.28,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over77c750$578 inWon+$172.51,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over77c649$500 inWon+$149.272,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over78c427.06$332 inWon+$95.2764633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over77c226.76$175 inWon+$52.1551750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under21c215.32$45 inLost-$45.263,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Over78c136.54$106 inWon+$30.041060%6 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under22c136.38$31 inLost-$30.561,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over76c130.84$99 inWon+$31.455250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under21c119.62$25 inLost-$25.1240451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb129…c058backed Over79c101.27$80 inWon+$21.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9315…afc1backed Over77c90.03$69 inWon+$20.91977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over76c53.88$41 inWon+$12.9315554.2%84 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over76c50$38 inWon+$124477.3%34 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over76c32$24 inWon+$7.6889645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over77c30.91$24 inWon+$7.111,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over76c24.42$19 inWon+$5.8695155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xace3…f9b0backed Over78c20$16 inWon+$4.41866.7%12 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x935e…9132backed Over76c19.74$15 inWon+$4.741758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda30…64bebacked Over76c19.3$15 inWon+$4.633100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over78c18.5$14 inWon+$4.072,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over76c18$14 inWon+$4.3272058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.