TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,525 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa384…3c9fbacked Under0c25,000$25 inLost-$252050%10 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed Under47c1,600$752 inLost-$7523016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under42c976.57$409 inLost-$408.765042%21 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over53c587.03$311 inWon+$275.911,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c549.63$292 inWon+$257.985,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over53c430$228 inWon+$202.222,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under47c424$199 inLost-$199.2831136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under47c422.98$199 inLost-$198.85556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under46c387.63$178 inLost-$178.3151749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Under9c348.19$31 inLost-$30.633743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over72c336.54$242 inWon+$94.231478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over54c291.1$156 inWon+$134.996349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under29c289.27$85 inLost-$85.1464633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under17c276$46 inLost-$46.121,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over53c251.81$133 inWon+$118.355850%29 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over53c245.15$130 inWon+$115.2220055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over53c241.59$128 inWon+$113.5555946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe24f…0c5abacked Over54c200$108 inWon+$92475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over53c188.52$100 inWon+$88.7966837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c136.17$64 inLost-$641,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over78c130$101 inWon+$28.617440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over53c92.45$49 inWon+$43.451741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under27c81.42$22 inLost-$2235240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over53c74$39 inWon+$34.7878756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8063…7832backed Under49c69.73$34 inLost-$34.171241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over54c54$29 inWon+$25.0889645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Over53c50$27 inWon+$23.53158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over53c42.2$22 inWon+$19.8311848.3%57 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon+$17.0410044%44 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over53c30$16 inWon+$14.123253%123 W · 109 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f00…5396backed Over53c30$16 inWon+$14.1771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x149d…0ecfbacked Over53c29.34$15 inWon+$13.891442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4954…ac42backed Under50c20$10 inLost-$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.