TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,125
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,262

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,125 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes52c1,292$672 inWon+$620.2966837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No48c1,014$486 inLost-$486.491,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7a…f252backed Yes53c284.69$150 inWon+$134.692142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No47c257.94$121 inLost-$121.2351749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c227.48$88 inLost-$87.875,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon+$58.7376951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No48c139.99$67 inLost-$67.214643.2%63 W · 83 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed No48c109.48$53 inLost-$52.557028.6%20 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No48c100$48 inLost-$4841654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes52c87$46 inWon+$41.3989645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes54c64$35 inWon+$29.4444843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No46c64$29 inLost-$29.4413748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes52c55.12$29 inWon+$26.561,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No49c50.16$25 inLost-$24.541,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e48…a7bcbacked Yes53c41.04$22 inWon+$19.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes63c31.75$20 inWon+$11.7520934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No48c26.15$13 inLost-$12.62,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No48c23.69$11 inLost-$11.3755946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed No49c23.24$11 inLost-$11.299350.5%47 W · 46 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No49c21.92$11 inLost-$10.748855.7%49 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x07db…29e4backed Yes52c21.15$11 inWon+$10.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes51c20$10 inWon+$9.94351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.