TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,975
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,975 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe337…4ad6backed Under75c13,863$10,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,445.619155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under66c12,571$8,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,284.1820036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over65c6,108$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00014727.2%40 W · 107 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8397…a04dbacked Under58c5,833$3,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,426.832828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under74c5,619$4,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.2929037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c5,034$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,490.138,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over40c4,900$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.9514829.7%44 W · 104 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over71c3,956$2,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,808.977741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under33c2,508$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.8510250%51 W · 51 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under61c2,445$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.863935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under62c2,274$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.153458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Over37c2,000$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.71353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over52c1,991$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.991,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under45c1,955$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.798763.2%55 W · 32 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over2c1,934$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3710618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under50c1,860$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.613243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under59c1,859$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.832171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over40c1,553$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.851,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9940…59b3backed Under56c1,519$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.181560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c1,338$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.65,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over46c1,289$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.9112340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed Under60c999.96$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.98988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.28per pick60cpaid+50.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over6c911.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.711,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed Over41c729.84$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.976735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013833.3%46 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under63c588.83$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.0235240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over67c555.64$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.692944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under57c521.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.828755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Under55c518.05$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.333743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over47c507.35$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.0651750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under66c500.08$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.5910364.1%66 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over18c473.37$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.187925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a9d…de77backed Over53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under35c470.49$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.825042%21 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over5c421.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.073,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over59c400.67$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.6489645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Under41c398.07$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.495646.4%26 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over52c358.96$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.6526835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Under28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.149920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over53c351$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.818446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over9c306.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7964633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under51c239.29$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.995155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa4a…aa02backed Over43c233$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.19425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over43c232.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-41%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over18c230.1$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8735246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1119711.2%22 W · 175 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over52c192$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.846744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005660.7%34 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under48c175.05$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Over37c160$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.12832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe065…df75backed Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001723.5%4 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-60.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c147.2$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.242,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over39c134$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2544843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under64c132.27$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486331.7%20 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf916…2763backed Over56c131.12$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c7…216abacked Under43c124.55$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.392544%11 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.618426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over39c108.54$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3245746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5d…df19backed Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…38c8backed Over23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Over50c99.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.993148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over55c87.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2214335.7%51 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over46c84.66$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6216864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8509…fd97backed Under48c79.21$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9210935.8%39 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over51c78.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.934858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Over65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Over55c62.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.63246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Over54c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.74037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014654.1%79 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccb9…4718backed Over62c49.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.154751.1%24 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe331…0163backed Over50c49.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.965464.8%35 W · 19 L+8.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+23.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over57c48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.619150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2adb…9e4bbacked Over48c47.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over63c45.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.871,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Over34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156838.2%26 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under48c44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0472058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under54c42.2$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2763061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87f8…b109backed Over34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510044%44 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Over31c38.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.843959%23 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a97…90b1backed Under43c38.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.744252.4%22 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under54c37.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.533152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under31c33.08$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.924560%27 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab95…6c79backed Over59c32.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.34170.7%29 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Under47c32.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.252931%9 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Over55c30.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.621741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb3…5fe5backed Under37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.115143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Over69c28.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.733641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x935e…9132backed Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Over68c27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3630%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over49c21.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.736149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over58c17.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3716349.1%80 W · 83 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x868d…78c9backed Over70c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.