South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x507a78f5980e66e3707cd678248f33d15266821af0bdf93575e0dcd43d53896a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 75c | 13,863$10,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445.6 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 66c | 12,571$8,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,284.18 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 65c | 6,108$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…a04dbacked Under | 58c | 5,833$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.83 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 74c | 5,619$4,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.29 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 5,034$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.13 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 40c | 4,900$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.95 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 71c | 3,956$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808.97 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 33c | 2,508$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.85 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f14…29d1backed Under | 61c | 2,445$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.86 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 62c | 2,274$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.15 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9fcdbacked Over | 37c | 2,000$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 1,991$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.99 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 45c | 1,955$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.79 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 2c | 1,934$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 50c | 1,860$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.61 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 59c | 1,859$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.83 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 1,553$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.85 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9940…59b3backed Under | 56c | 1,519$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.18 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 1,338$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.6 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 46c | 1,289$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.91 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Under | 60c | 999.96$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.98 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 6c | 911.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Over | 41c | 729.84$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.97 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 63c | 588.83$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.02 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Over | 67c | 555.64$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.69 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 57c | 521.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.82 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Under | 55c | 518.05$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.33 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 47c | 507.35$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.06 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 66c | 500.08$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.59 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 18c | 473.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…de77backed Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 35c | 470.49$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.82 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 5c | 421.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 59c | 400.67$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.64 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Under | 41c | 398.07$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.49 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 52c | 358.96$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.65 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Under | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 53c | 351$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 9c | 306.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 51c | 239.29$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.9 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…aa02backed Over | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 43c | 232.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 18c | 230.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Over | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 197 | 11.2%22 W · 175 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 48c | 175.05$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Over | 37c | 160$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…df75backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 147.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 39c | 134$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 64c | 132.27$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…2763backed Over | 56c | 131.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…216abacked Under | 43c | 124.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 39c | 108.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Over | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over | 50c | 99.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 55c | 87.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 46c | 84.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Under | 48c | 79.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 51c | 78.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Over | 55c | 62.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Over | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…4718backed Over | 62c | 49.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 50c | 49.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 57c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2adb…9e4bbacked Over | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 63c | 45.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 54c | 42.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…b109backed Over | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked Over | 31c | 38.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Under | 43c | 38.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 54c | 37.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 31c | 33.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Over | 59c | 32.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Under | 47c | 32.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Over | 55c | 30.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…5fe5backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 69c | 28.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…9132backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Over | 68c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 49c | 21.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 58c | 17.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868d…78c9backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 5.5this page
- Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: Club Bolívar O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: Grêmio FBPA O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: Grêmio FBPA O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: Grêmio FBPA O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Club Bolívar (-1.5)Grêmio FBPA won
- Spread: Club Bolívar (-2.5)Grêmio FBPA won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)Club Bolívar won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-2.5)Club Bolívar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.