South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlas FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x346261df7c8ae372b66bd0501f8b6a3783ce9505fb4d3c1b2b5cf10deb3c1307
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 40c | 5,911$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 40c | 1,225$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.93 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 60c | 1,170$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.56 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 59c | 974.14$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.79 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 760.97$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.34 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 757.68$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.88 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 697.78$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.34 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 34c | 640$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.5 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Over | 60c | 501.67$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.67 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Over | 41c | 498.3$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.56 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 344.91$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.17 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.82 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 243.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.89 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 60c | 219.35$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.61 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 51c | 199.53$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.87 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 34c | 177.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.51 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Over | 40c | 142.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 44c | 107.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…41b4backed Under | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…bb0abacked Over | 60c | 101.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…bca7backed Over | 62c | 101.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 31c | 93.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Under | 61c | 78.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 58c | 66.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 58c | 66.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 58c | 66.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 58c | 66.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 64c | 64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 38c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Over | 47c | 50.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…5737backed Over | 61c | 48.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a65…3340backed Over | 35c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 32c | 44.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 37c | 38.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Over | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…dcfcbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Over | 32c | 32.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c27…567abacked Over | 37c | 29.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 41c | 26.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 60c | 26.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…a471backed Over | 59c | 25.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…ecc5backed Over | 58c | 25.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Under | 42c | 24.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 22.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a3…2d69backed Over | 46c | 22.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Under | 66c | 17.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlas FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5this page
- Atlas FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Atlas FC won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)Atlas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.