Fifa International · resolved market
Montenegro vs. Andorra: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49b174ecfbda67bbf1458afe5fe16a99f6c2e0c7a6be44190ec552177f03188f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 1,488$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.56 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 78c | 1,211$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.49 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 28c | 600.76$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 20c | 420.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 72c | 316$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 17c | 279.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 21c | 232.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 78c | 164.49$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 78c | 145.35$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 21c | 102.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Under | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 68.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 79c | 65.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 77c | 64.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 28c | 52.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…4468backed Over | 27c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +121.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 73c | 41.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 78c | 40.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 79c | 34.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 78c | 34.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 79c | 33.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 79c | 32.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…1d57backed Under | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 79cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…fbd0backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4e…e935backed Under | 75c | 18.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 75c | 17.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Montenegro vs. Andorra: O/U 3.5this page
- Montenegro vs. Andorra: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Montenegro vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5Over won
- Montenegro vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5Under won
- Montenegro vs. Andorra: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Montenegro (-1.5)Montenegro won
- Spread: Montenegro (-2.5)Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.