Fifa International · resolved market
Montenegro vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x809cfd08408fd87d20a869df54d4c1f6dd346f36de73aa05b9ee41ebc5aac2eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 7,001$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900.22 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 4,339$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.2 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Over | 42c | 2,187$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.13 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…5349backed Under | 56c | 1,418$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 42c | 1,281$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.19 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…26d6backed Over | 50c | 833.32$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Under | 49c | 612.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +159.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 50c | 611$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 47c | 527.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 49c | 495.88$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.35 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 479.73$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.84 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under | 63c | 463$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.53 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Over | 44c | 444$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.36 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 45c | 423.52$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.58 | 291 | 38.8%113 W · 178 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 73c | 366.06$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 349.09$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Under | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Under | 53c | 319.98$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.81 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 50c | 297.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.99 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 52c | 241.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 232.03$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 65c | 229.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 42c | 227.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 47c | 212.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 58c | 212$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 51c | 194.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.81 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 37c | 179.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 127.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 62c | 125.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Over | 49c | 113.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…a1b8backed Over | 49c | 107.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 48c | 106.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Under | 43c | 100.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 99.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 39c | 98.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 95.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…6a27backed Under | 51c | 80.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Over | 37c | 79.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 62c | 79.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Under | 60c | 66.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 49c | 65.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c3…0701backed Over | 24c | 62.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 47c | 58.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Under | 52c | 55.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 49c | 51.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 41c | 42.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…5776backed Under | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…06bdbacked Under | 52c | 37.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 64c | 35.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ce…27a2backed Under | 52c | 34.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 53c | 32.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…7e45backed Under | 79c | 32.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Over | 54c | 32.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…50d8backed Over | 49c | 31.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…9d39backed Over | 49c | 28.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 40c | 26.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Over | 57c | 25.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…4313backed Under | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 50c | 20.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 54c | 18.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Montenegro vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5this page
- Montenegro vs. Andorra: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Montenegro vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5Over won
- Montenegro vs. Andorra: O/U 3.5Under won
- Montenegro vs. Andorra: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Montenegro (-1.5)Montenegro won
- Spread: Montenegro (-2.5)Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.