Premier League · resolved market
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9cf3fce50f7dca60f43d30cf22583ec6bf2629a13161493a6dd002bb0663201
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 46c | 2,257$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.04 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 54c | 685$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.3 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 46c | 633.33$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.33 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 46c | 397.32$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.73 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 46c | 358.87$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.89 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 54c | 340$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.9 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Yes | 54c | 222.56$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 46c | 149.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 55c | 105.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed No | 44c | 104.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 34cpaid | +131.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcff3…2eeebacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 54c | 74.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…cbadbacked No | 51c | 50.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 54c | 50.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…615abacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcff…4f4bbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Yes | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Antoine Semenyo: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Eli Junior Kroupi: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Jeremy Doku: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.